My 3 predictions of 2013

Well it's almost the end of 2012 and I'm ready to turn over those 2012 leaves and time to focus on 2013. I also thought it would good to make some independent decisions on what will be the focal points of 2013 and see if can predict what will happen in the IT world
December 28, 2012
Just-For-Fun

1. The loss of innovative designs

That said, in recent times that spark of re-thinking within the IT world has, in my opinion, has somewhat diminished in recent times and will continue within 2013. I am not surprised that there's been ongoing Apple vs Samsung patent battles on existing ideas as oppose to innovated ones. The Apple iPhone is a classic example. The new Iphone 5 is very similar as it's predecessor. The iPad Mini, in my opinion, is vular and has warped the iPads position within the Apple tablet market. Steve Jobs supported a similar idea though it seems Apple think otherwise, for now.

For wireless connections, the 4g will take another 3-4 years to mature and decrease in price for people to then consider it over their current 3G connection.

Something like the google glasses may contradict my 2013 view, though it could easily be another Tulip Mania and another advertising bullshit idea.

Again I could easily be wrong on this though tight now I cannot any true innovated ideas out there that isn't hyped by marketing.


2. Semantic technologies

This is something that has not been in the market, which from a technical perspective, is fantastic news as it allows more maturity in the design rather than over-expectations. To the date of writing this, the video below is around 4 years old though it does provide a clear understanding on the concept of semantic technologies.

This year I discussed the concept of Neuroinformatics with a guy from Qualcomm USA. He said something very fascinating, "The human race will never truly understand the functions of the brain until there's a computer fast enough, if not faster, to read the brain realtime. In order to even start getting at that benchmark, we'll need computers to start thinking like humans". The IBM Watson computer is a good example at the 'game quiz' level though miles away from the 'neuro-evel' understanding. The computer was a contestant on what I think is the worse structured TV show in America.

You're presented with the answer though you have to respond by saying the question. That's fine, I get it, but why!? If I'm meant to say 'George Washington', why do I have to say 'Who is George Washington?' on the TV program to get a point? There's no increased level of difficultly by saying it in the question format nor does it apply additional fun for the viewers. My wish for 2013, more Watson, less Jeopardy!


3. Data analytics and mining

It's becoming increasingly difficult to consolidate and analyse information especially at the corporate level. The increase of data and it's cohesion consequently increases the complexity. There's so much information available for everyone, though we don't have the 'processing power' at our fingertips. The acceleration of consolidating data is inevitable though debatable on whether it will be a key play in 2013.

Would it not be too far-fetched to say that Facebook profiles will be used with your SSN number or bank details? Who's to say the US government isn't already constructing identities on public data. Facebook in 2013 will start to decline... Though if I'm honest, I did say that last year.

Data Analytics can eventually eradicate the concept of luck. I am a true believer that there's no such thing as luck. I believe one would only use the word 'luck' as a substitue to their absent understanding. If I drop my toast and it's spinning repeating and Randomly before it hits the floor and it lands butter side up, was that luck that I could pick it up and eat it (if I wanted)? Was it luck, or was it that as humans we cannot compute the constant laws of Physics in time to eliminate the idea of luck and state that it was inevitable?

Data Analytics and Mining will be a focal factor in 2013, though it's difficult to saw where

3 estimates would suffice for my 2013 predictions. I'm clearly not renounced as the next the Nostradamus though I will be watching in 2013 to see if any one of the 3 come true


Conclusion

3 estimates would suffice for my 2013 predictions. I'm clearly not renounced as the next the Nostradamus though I will be watching in 2013 to see if any one of the 3 come true

About the author

Daniel is a Technical Manager with over 10 years of consulting expertise in the Identity and Access Management space.
Daniel has built from scratch this blog as well as technicalconfessions.com
Follow Daniel on twitter @nervouswiggles

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